Estimated Airborne Decay of SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19 virus)

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Use the sliders to select the UV index, temperature and relative humidity of interest. Information on how long SARS-CoV-2 would be expected to remain stable in aerosols (airborne) will be displayed in the table below. Users can find the environmental conditions for a specific location by accessing general weather resources online.

Example

Example

Background

  • Minimizing person-to-person spread of SARS-CoV-2 is one of the main ways to reduce the impact of COVID-19.

  • Transmission is believed to occur through respiratory droplets produced by talking, coughing and sneezing. Contact with contaminated surfaces and objects may also contribute to spread.

  • Increased temperature and relative humidity cause a minimal increase in SARS-CoV-2 decay, but the addition of simulated sunlight causes rapid decay of the virus in aerosol. ???

  • These data have been used to develop a predictive model to estimate virus decay in aerosols under a limited range of environmental conditions.

  • The data that supports this tool is published in the Journal of Infectious Diseases and can be found here.

Model Caveats

  • It should be noted that in order to fully assess the hazard posed by aerosols containing SARS-CoV-2, additional information is needed, including how much infectious virus is shed by infected individuals into the air, and the amount of virus that needs to be inhaled to cause infection.

  • The tool is valid for the following ranges of conditions: 50-86°F, 20-70% relative humidity, and UV indices of 1-10. The model currently doesn’t allow for a UV index of 0. The model will be upgraded to expand the parameters for future iterations.

A later study on impact of temperature and humidity is worthy of consideration and integration into the above.
See:
https://www.isitzen.com/blog/2021/2/weather-impact-on-airborne-coronavirus-survival-physics-of-fluids